Pakistan is bracing for what experts warn could be one of the coldest winters in recent history. Meteorologists attribute the expected chill to the re-emergence of the La Niña phenomenon — a climate pattern known for bringing colder and drier weather to much of South Asia.
According to a report by Pakistan Today, La Niña’s return is likely to trigger below-average temperatures, early cold waves, and extended frost periods across the country. The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has also forecast that the coming winter — stretching from November 2025 to February 2026 — may see record-low temperatures in several regions, especially the northern and western highlands.
What’s Driving the Chill
La Niña develops when sea-surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean cool down, disrupting global wind and weather patterns. For Pakistan, this often translates into dry, biting winters and unusually strong cold spells sweeping south from the Himalayas and Central Asia.
“Atmospheric indicators suggest a moderate to strong La Niña phase developing by late October,” said a senior PMD official. “Historically, such conditions have been linked to colder winters in Pakistan, particularly in Balochistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and northern Punjab.”
Early Signs Already Visible
Hints of the coming chill are already being felt. Mercury levels have dropped earlier than usual in parts of Sindh and Punjab. Northern hill stations such as Murree, Nathiagali, and Swat have reported their first snowfalls weeks ahead of schedule. Even low-lying areas like Mohenjo-Daro recently recorded temperatures as low as 5 °C following winter rains.
Caution Against Exaggeration
Despite the widespread concern, meteorologists caution against viral social media claims predicting “snow in Lahore” or “minus temperatures in Karachi.” While colder-than-usual weather is expected, such extremes remain unlikely. “People should rely on official updates from the PMD rather than unverified sources,” experts advise.
Preparing for a Harsh Winter
Authorities and citizens are being urged to prepare early.
- Insulate homes and ensure safe heating arrangements to prevent carbon-monoxide incidents.
- Farmers should take precautions against frost damage to winter crops such as wheat and vegetables.
- Travelers in northern areas are advised to check weather alerts before setting out, as snow and ice may disrupt roads.
The Bigger Picture
Pakistan’s shifting weather patterns reflect broader regional climate variability. The country has witnessed extreme events in recent years — from scorching heatwaves to record monsoon floods — highlighting its vulnerability to global climate shifts. A severe winter this year could further test the resilience of energy supplies, agriculture, and infrastructure.
Source: Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)
